Find the gap between price and probability.
fors.gg is a research desk for prediction markets and mispriced assets. We compare odds across markets, estimate fair probabilities from data, and check whether a price move is real information or noise.
Latest research
Fake Ballon d'Or leaks went viral. Yamal's odds doubled.
Two fake "leaks" reached 13 million views before voting closed. We lined each post up, to the minute, against hourly market prices, and listed the red flags that prove they were fake.
What we do
Compare odds across markets
The same event can trade at different prices on different platforms. We line them up side by side.
Estimate fair probability
We build estimates from data, such as past results and voting records, not from headlines.
Separate signal from noise
When a price moves, we check what moved with it: news, matches, or viral rumours.
Price assets and events
We apply pricing and valuation methods to assets, listings and other things with a price.
How we work
- 01
Show the data. Every chart names its source and time zone.
- 02
Timing isn't proof. We say what moved together, not what we can't prove caused it.
- 03
Count the costs. A gap only matters after fees, spreads and waiting time.
- 04
No tips, no signals. We publish research, never trading instructions.